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  Has Microsoft peaked?
Time: 00:00 EST/05:00 GMT | News Source: E-Mail | Posted By: Todd Richardson

Microsoft Corp.'s business ambitions have never wavered. Microsoft was founded in 1978, went public in 1987, and has since grown to become the world's largest technology company and one of the world's largest publicly traded companies. It has as an enormous cash balance of around $55 billion on its balance sheet and 93 percent share of the consumer software market. Investors typically regard MSFT stock as a no-risk investment with a stock price that will keep going up. However, that is not the case.

Yes, Microsoft has a ton of cash on the balance sheet. But it's not balance sheet cash or market share that propels a stock price upward. It's growth. And growth leveled off at Microsoft about 18 months ago, when the company went ex-growth and ex-cash.

Has Microsoft Peaked?
Yes
No
Maybe
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  Displaying Comments 1 through 12 of 12
  The time now is 10:09:54 AM ET.
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#1 By daz (1817 Posts) at 7/7/2004 1:33:17 AM
MS has peaked with unmanaged code.

However, managed code and Longhorn will usher in a new era of computing. One where you use the computer rather than it using you (for everything like thinking, maintenance, etc)

#2 By Halcyon-X12 (4936 Posts) at 7/7/2004 3:37:50 AM
They say that every fast growing business has 50 good years in them (the only one ever to break this rule was Disney, but even they are flailing right now), so it's quite possible.

Plus, how much longer do you think they can get away with their bullsh~? Without it, they can't compete.

This post was edited by Halcyon-X12 on Wednesday, July 07, 2004 at 03:49.

#3 By HexJam (63 Posts) at 7/7/2004 3:39:22 AM
MS has obviously peaked, if it hasn't now it's going to very soon - it already controls 93% of the software market! What's it going to do? Just keep growing and control 105% of the software market!?

#4 By Halcyon-X12 (4936 Posts) at 7/7/2004 3:41:04 AM
Expand to other markets.

Video games: Check.

Embedded: Check.

Film: Check (WMV9).

Media: Check (Radio/TV/Web MSNBC).

Education: Check.

Next?

#5 By ClosedStandards (689 Posts) at 7/7/2004 4:19:32 AM
#1, what a relief! I'll be so glad when I don't have to think anymore.

#6 By TerraKhan (16 Posts) at 7/7/2004 8:17:20 AM
I think that Microsoft has peaked, although it may not be permanent. They have enough irons in the fire and enough resources to continue in other markets and I don't feel that anyone has a good idea of where the PC itself will be in 5 or 10 years from now. Xbox was just to get their foot in the door of homes that don't have a computer, and Xbox2 will push that door further open and tempt even those that don't play games.

There is no future but what we make....

This post was edited by TerraKhan on Wednesday, July 07, 2004 at 08:18.

#7 By donpacman (538 Posts) at 7/7/2004 10:59:59 AM
Has Microsoft Peaked?
I said No.

#8 By Halcyon-X12 (4936 Posts) at 7/7/2004 3:06:29 PM
I don't thik anything of what #1 said makes sense.

One where you use the computer rather than it using you

Last time I checked my computer didn't plug me in as a peripheral... What are you talking about?

#9 By grufzilla (5 Posts) at 7/7/2004 11:55:40 PM
#4 you're right they've covered most markets. But they are missing from the adult orientated market.

#10 By Halcyon-X12 (4936 Posts) at 7/8/2004 12:08:10 AM
Maybe not if that is what some of their subsidiaries are involved in... I don't know if MS would want to be associated with this directly, MS is trying to create "community" images and all that in their marketing.

#11 By KnightHawk (284 Posts) at 7/8/2004 1:27:41 AM
I dont think they've peeked persay.. more like thier on a plautue for the near term. Untill about late 2006\Early 2007. By then you'll have a fresh clients, fresh servers, the mobile and wireless caos will have settled out a bit and be more pervasive markets will have expanded further as well new markets created. Additionally those programing for this platform will have had a couple of years under thier belts with the tools and best practices for developing with .net.

So yeah right now if your a shareholder I wouln't expect double digit growth from microsoft overall, but if your a long term player then picking up some ms stock now at around 25$ is probably a very good deal. Hell I remeber people said the same crap about ibm in the early 90's stock price was down by 1/2... They are twice as large now as they were then.

We all keep begging for apple to die.. but it will not.. still has the same 2-3% share.. just the overall pie keeps getting bigger.


#12 By Halcyon-X12 (4936 Posts) at 7/8/2004 2:12:14 AM
You really can't say that for a fact. Longhorn has barely gotten started, and already MS has announced cuts on the big features such as NGSCB which should be their primary concern, and WINFS. So far, Windows usersa are having a lot of problems. Who knows if Longhorn will change anything? How can you be so optimistic? The main thing is that Microsoft right now is doing very poorly, and so far there really isn't any reason that this will change.

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